As we've seen, the North Carolina state budget is in profound deficit. The causes of this are not a mystery: the state's anticipated revenues have fallen well short of its anticipated expenditures over the coming year.
In general, there are two basic techniques for balancing a budget: "balancing up" or "balancing down". Balancing up will occur when revenues expand to meet anticipated expenditures, while balancing down will occur if expenditures are reduced to match anticipated revenues.
These sound quite different, but both tend to increase unemployment in the state.
- Balancing down through reduced expenditures will tend to reduce demand for goods and services and reduce employment. This can occur directly (through letting state employees go) or indirectly (through lowering purchases from private vendors so that they let their employees go).
- Balancing up through increased revenues will also tend to reduce employment. Increased revenues usually requires a rise in tax rates, and this rise in tax rates reduces the disposable income of citizens. Citizens then reduce demand for goods and services and thus reduce employment by those vendors providing the goods and services.
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